I enjoy betting on F1 simply for entertainment. Based on the knowledge and statistics we have collected here on the site, the goal is also to earn a bit of cash on the predictions. But in the end it’s all for fun. Predicting future Formula One results and beating the market is a difficult challenge, yet that also makes it enjoyable. Most F1 media guys would not be able to beat the betting markets.
If you decide to follow these predictions, do it at your own risk, and never bet more than you can afford to lose!
Below, you’ll find a list of my current and past predictions, sorted by each Grand Prix, and by each session of the GP weekend.
I also update this page every time there’s a new prediction. The bets can be followed, tracked and verified on platforms such as Bettin.gs and Reddit too, where I also post ahead of time.
I bet between 0.5 and 3 units per bet. Each unit represents 1% of the bankroll. I stick to 0.5 unit when there’s slight value (or high value with more volatility involved), 1 unit bets are for standard value bets and therefore most common, 2 units for particularly strong bets, and 3 units are reserved for spots with exceedingly high value. I never bet more than 3 units / 3% of the bankroll. The variance would be too extreme.
Record
An overview of the settled results so far.
Bet count: 135
ROI: +5.85%
Units won: +9.06
Average unit stake: 1.15
Average odds: 2.32
2026 Japanese Grand Prix
Race bets
Piastri to beat Hamilton @ 2.10 (1.5 unit) (Bet365)
Verstappen to beat Gasly @ 2.20 (1.5 unit) (Bet365)
Albon to beat Sainz @ 2.37 (1 unit) (Pinnacle)
Hülkenberg to beat Ocon @ 1.95 (0.5 unit) (SBO)
Bottas to beat Perez @ 2.07 (0.5 unit) (Pinnacle)
Qualifying bets
Antonelli to get pole @ 3.80 (1 unit) (Betfair, after commission) W
Antonelli to outqualify Russell @ 3.25 (1 unit) (Bet365) W
Bottas to outqualify Perez @ 1.89 (2 units) (SBO) L
Albon to outqualify Sainz @ 2.03 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Hamilton to outqualify Leclerc @ 2.62 (1 unit) (Bet365) L
Lindblad to outqualify Lawson @ 3.10 (0.5 unit) (Pinnacle) W
2026 Chinese Grand Prix
Race bets
Russell > Antonelli @ 1.57 (1 unit) Bet365 L
Lindblad > Lawson @ 2.21 (1 unit) SBO L
Norris > Verstappen @ 1.40 (1 unit) Bet365 Void
Bearman > Gasly @ 2.05 (1 unit) SBO W
Qualifying (Saturday) bets
Bottas > Perez @ 1.93 (1.5 unit) (SBO) W
Lindblad > Lawson @ 2.20 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Hamilton > Leclerc @ 2.00 (1 unit) (Bet365) W
Piastri > Norris @ 2.05 (0.5 unit) (SBO) W
Sainz > Albon @ 1.74 (0.5 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Sprint race bets
Russell to win the sprint @ 1.484 (1 unit) (Betfair, after commission) W
Albon > Sainz @ 2.28 (0.5 unit) (SBO) L
Piastri > Verstappen @ 1.40 (0.5 unit) (Bet365) W
Sprint qualifying bets
Russell > Antonelli @ 1.41 (2 units) (SBO) W
Lindblad > Lawson @ 1.85 (1.5 units) (SBO) L
Bottas > Perez @ 1.87 (1 unit) (SBO) Void
Bortoleto > Hülkenberg @ 1.884 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) L
Sainz > Albon @ 1.95 (0.5 unit) (SBO) W
Ocon > Bearman @ 2.25 (0.5 unit) (Bet365) L
Verstappen > Leclerc @ 2.05 (0.5 unit) (SBO) L
2026 Australian Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Bottas > Perez @ 1.675 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) L
Lindblad > Lawson @ 1.869 (2 units) (Pinnacle) L
Russell > Antonelli @ 1.413 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Piastri > Norris @ 1.751 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Leclerc > Hamilton @ 1.411 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Gasly > Colapinto @ 1.36 (1 unit) (Bet365) W
Hülkenberg > Bortoleto @ 1.89 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Race bets
Lindblad to beat Lawson @ 2.13 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Norris to beat Hamilton @ 2.20 (1 unit) (Bet365) L
Bottas to beat Perez @ 2.25 (0.5 unit) (Bet365) L
Ocon to beat Bearman @ 2.20 (0.5 unit) (Bet365) L
Colapinto to beat Gasly @ 4.33 (0.5 unit) (Bet365) L
Seasonal bets (2026)
Piastri to outscore Norris @ 2.50 (3 units) (Bet365)
Piastri WDC @ 15.00 (0.5 unit) (Bet365)
McLaren WCC @ 4.54 (1 unit) (Polymarket)
McLaren to outscore Ferrari @ 1.83 (1 unit) (Bet365)
Leclerc to outscore Hamilton @ 1.33 (3 units) (Bet365)
Lindblad to outscore Lawson @ 2.69 (3 units) (SBO)
Bortoleto to outscore Hülkenberg @ 2.40 (2 units) (SBO)
Perez to finish ahead of Bottas @ 1.91 (2 units) (SBO)
Ocon to outscore Bearman @ 2.50 (1 unit) (Bet365)
2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Norris pole @ 1.969 (Betfair) (1 unit) L
Ocon > Bearman @ 3.25 (Bet365) (1 unit) W
Piastri > Russell @ 1.85 (Bwin) (1 unit) W
Gasly > Colapinto @ 1.30 (Unibet) (1 unit) W
Race bets
Sainz > Lawson @ 1.694 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Piastri not on the podium @ 2.82 (Betfair) (1 unit) L
2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Sainz > Albon @ 1.95 (Bwin) (1 unit) W
Hadjar > Lawson @ 1.45 (Unibet) (1 unit) L
Bortoleto > Hülkenberg @ 2.75 (Bet365) (1 unit) L
Race bets
Russell > Piastri @ 1.628 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Russell top 3 @ 1.60 (Bwin) (1 unit) W
Russell to win the race @ 11.45 (Betfair) (0.25 unit) L
Alonso > Hamilton @ 1.99 (Pinnacle) (0.5 unit) L
Antonelli > Hamilton @ 1.67 (Pinnacle) (0.5 unit) W
Verstappen > Norris @ 2.08 (Unibet) (1 unit) W
2025 São Paulo Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Norris > Piastri @ 1.51 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Hadjar > Lawson @ 1.50 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Race bets
Antonelli > Piastri @ 2.50 (Bet365) (1 unit) W
Verstappen > Hamilton @ 1.68 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
2025 Mexico City Grand Prix
Back again!
Qualifying bets
Verstappen pole @ 1.75 (Betfair) (1 unit) L
Norris > Piastri @ 1.50 (Bet365) (1 unit) W
Gasly > Colapinto @ 1.75 (Bwin) (1 unit) W
Gasly to reach Q3 @ 17.00 (Bwin) (0.5 unit) L
Sainz > Albon @ 1.69 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Hülkenberg > Bortoleto @ 1.89 (SBO) (1 unit) W
Bearman > Ocon @ 1.90 (Unibet) (1 unit) W
Leclerc > Hamilton @ 1.45 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Leclerc top 3 in qualifying @ 2.20 (Bwin) (0.5 unit) W
Hadjar > Lawson @ 1.78 (Pinnacle) (1 unit) W
Alonso > Stroll @ 1.28 (SBO) (1 unit) W
Race bets
Leclerc or Hamilton to lead the race after 1 lap @ 2.18 (1 unit) (Betfair/Bet365) L
Sainz > Tsunoda @ 1.94 (1 unit) (Stake) L
Colapinto > Gasly @ 3.25 (1 unit) (Bet365) L
Alonso > Lawson @ 1.70 (1 unit) (Unibet) W
Albon > Bortoleto @ 1.65 (1 unit) (Bwin) L
Piastri > Antonelli @ 1.48 (1 unit) (SBO) W
Verstappen top 3 @ 1.86 (1 unit) (Unibet) W
2025 Monaco Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Piastri to beat Norris @ 1.613 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) L
Leclerc to get pole position @ 3.10 (1 unit) (Betfair) L
Sainz to beat Albon @ 2.07 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) L
Ocon to beat Bearman @ 2.00 (1 unit) (Unibet) W
Hadjar to beat Lawson @ 1.67 (1 unit) (Unibet) W
Bortoleto to beat Hülkenberg @ 2.28 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Hamilton to beat Russell @ 1.83 (0.5 unit) (Bet365) W
Antonelli to beat Russell @ 3.30 (0.5 unit) (Bwin) L
2025 Imola Grand Prix
Race bets
Gasly to beat Hadjar @ 2.60 (2 units) (Bwin) L
Leclerc to beat Hamilton @ 1.40 (2 units) (Unibet) L
Hülkenberg to beat Bortoleto @ 2.25 (1 unit) (Bwin) W
Albon to beat Sainz @ 2.65 (1 unit) (Stake) W
Norris to beat Verstappen @ 2.28 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Verstappen to beat Russell @ 1.47 (1 unit) (SBO) W
Piastri to win @ 1.50 (1 unit) (Unibet) L
2025 Bahrain Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Pole position: Norris or Leclerc @ 2.18 (3 units) (Sportsbet.io) L
Leclerc top 3 @ 3.25 (0.5 unit) (Bwin) W
Alonso to beat Stroll @ 1.30 (2 units) (Unibet) W
Ocon to beat Bearman @ 2.60 (2 units) (Bwin) W
Sainz to beat Tsunoda @ 2.00 (2 units) (Bwin) W
Race bets
Alonso to beat Lawson @ 1.62 (2 units) (SBO) W
Sainz to beat Tsunoda @ 1.87 (2 units) (SBO) L
Verstappen to beat Antonelli @ 1.95 (2 units) (Bwin) W
Albon to beat Doohan @ 1.93 (1 unit) (SBO) W
Leclerc to beat Norris @ 2.75 (0.5 unit) (Bwin) L
Russell to beat Norris @ 2.65 (0.5 unit) (Bwin) W
Fastest pitstop: Ferrari @ 2.10 (0.5 unit) (Stake) W
2025 Japanese Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Norris wins pole position @ 1.88 (2 units) (Betfair, after commission) L
Ocon to beat Bearman @ 1.55 (2 units) (Bwin) L
Albon to beat Sainz @ 1.89 (2 units) (SBO) W
Alonso to beat Stroll @ 1.30 (2 units) (Unibet) W
Hülkenberg to beat Bortoleto @ 1.39 (1 unit) (Cloudbet) W
Lawson to beat Hadjar @ 2.60 (2 units) (Bwin) L
Antonelli to beat Tsunoda @ 2.17 (2 units) (SBO) W
Doohan to beat Gasly @ 9.00 (0.5 unit) (Bwin) L
Race bets
Verstappen to win @ 3.57 (1 unit) (Betfair) W
Verstappen to beat Piastri @ 1.85 (1 unit) (Bwin) W
Bortoleto to beat Hülkenberg @ 2.75 (1 unit) (Unibet) L
Lawson to beat Hadjar @ 3.95 (1 unit) (Unibet) L
Albon to beat Hadjar @ 2.11 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Sainz to beat Lawson @ 1.78 (1 unit) (SBO) W
Ocon to beat Stroll @ 1.93 (2 units) (SBO) W
2025 Chinese Grand Prix
Sprint race bets
Lando Norris to finish ahead of Oscar Piastri @ 3.27 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Lewis Hamilton to win the sprint @ 3.75 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Race bets
Alex Albon to finish ahead of Fernando Alonso @ 1.65 (1 unit) (Bwin) W
Gabriel Bortoleto to finish ahead of Jack Doohan @ 2.21 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Max Verstappen to finish on the podium @ 2.33 (1 unit) (Betfair) L
2025 Australian Grand Prix
Qualifying bets
Lando Norris to win pole position @ 2.85 (1 unit) (Sportsbet) W
Oscar Piastri top 3 @ 2.20 (1 unit) (Bwin) W
Fernando Alonso to qualify ahead of Lance Stroll @ 1.32 (1 unit) (Cloudbet) W
Kimi Antonelli to qualify ahead of Carlos Sainz @ 2.25 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Pierre Gasly to qualify ahead of Jack Doohan @ 1.36 (1 unit) (Bwin) W
Esteban Ocon to qualify ahead of Oliver Bearman @ 1.35 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Race bets
Max Verstappen to finish ahead of Lando Norris @ 2.65 (1 unit) (Bwin) L
Pierre Gasly to finish ahead of Alex Albon @ 2.05 (1 unit) (SBO) L
Lewis Hamilton to finish ahead of Charles Leclerc @ 3.45 (1 unit) (Stake) L
Esteban Ocon to finish ahead of Oliver Bearman @ 1.38 (1 unit) (Pinnacle) W
Carlos Sainz to finish ahead of Alex Albon @ 2.50 (1 unit) (Stake) L
Seasonal bets (2025)
McLaren to win WCC @ 1.88 (3 units) (Betfair) W
Williams to beat Aston Martin @ 1.72 (2 units) (Stake) W
Liam Lawson to win a race? NO @ 1.87 (2 units) (Stake) W
Esteban Ocon to beat Oliver Bearman @ 1.50 (3 units) (Stake) L
Gabriel Bortoleto to beat Nico Hülkenberg @ 4.00 (3 units) (SBO) L
